{"id":18943,"date":"2020-02-01T08:13:36","date_gmt":"2020-02-01T13:13:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/?p=18943"},"modified":"2020-02-01T08:13:36","modified_gmt":"2020-02-01T13:13:36","slug":"10-hot-takes-from-fypd-sleepers-busts-and-breakouts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/milb\/10-hot-takes-from-fypd-sleepers-busts-and-breakouts\/","title":{"rendered":"10 Hot Takes From FYPD: Sleepers, Busts and Breakouts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">What I\u2019ve learned in FYPD mocks!<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">It\u2019s the most wonderful time of the year. There\u2019s nothing that gets me more excited than first-year player drafts. Sure, I love the standard drafts (Roto\/Points\/H2H) but there\u2019s something extra rewarding about trying to unearth the next <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/acunaro01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Ronald Acuna Jr.<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sotoju01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Juan Soto<\/a> while avoiding the landmines of players such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=maitan000kev&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Maitan<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/hultzda01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Danny Hultzen<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">In the spirit of the season, here are 10 of my takeaways from early FYPD mocks.<\/p>\n<div class=\"s2nPlayer k-n5HQg8VL8a-712732-9000\" data-type=\"float\"><\/div>\n<p><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/embed.sendtonews.com\/player3\/embedcode.js?SC=n5HQg8VL8a-712732-9000&#038;offsetx=0&#038;offsety=0&#038;floatwidth=400&#038;floatposition=bottom-right\" data-type=\"s2nScript\"><\/script><br \/>\n<strong>TOP DOG:<\/strong> It\u2019s become abundantly clear that if you want Jasson Dominguez you\u2019ll need the first overall pick. This surprised me somewhat, not because I don\u2019t have Dominguez ranked as the first player off the board but because I thought some teams would look at how far away he is from the big leagues and go with a player who is more polished and closer to making an impact on their fantasy teams. This is not the case. In every draft I\u2019ve taken part in, which is five, Dominguez has gone first overall. Hope you had a bad 2019 season if you want him.<\/p>\n<p><strong>CRAP SHOOT:<\/strong> If first overall is a lock then second overall is anything but. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=vaughn000and&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Andrew Vaughn<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=witt--005rob&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Bobby Witt Jr.<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=abrams000pau&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">CJ Abrams<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=rutsch000adl&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Adley Rutschman<\/a> have all been the bridesmaids in my FYPD mocks. They\u2019re all fine picks, with league construction and how your team is constructed making drafting any of them justifiable. Vaughn is the only player to be taken twice.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SHOOT THE MOON:<\/strong> Erick Pena is going up, up and away. Pena\u2019s stock has been rising steadily since the Royals inked him as part of the J2 international prospects last year. Initially I thought Pena was going to be a value pick and someone you might be able to snag early in the second round \u2014 I was wrong. He\u2019s gone as high as five overall which is higher than I\u2019m comfortable taking him with players like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=greene000ril&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Riley Greene<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=bleday000jef&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">JJ Bleday<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=carrol000cor&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Corbin Carroll<\/a> still on the board.<\/p>\n<p><strong>FALLING STARTERS:<\/strong> It was no secret that this year\u2019s crop of SP were weaker than recent drafts. Pinpointing who is going to provide value is a tricky proposition this year which is why many teams are staying away from any SP at all in the first three rounds. I get it, but at some point it provides a buying opportunity for teams who have depleted SP depth. The likes of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=lodolo000nic&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Nick Lodolo<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=kirby-001geo&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">George Kirby<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=espino003dan&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Daniel Espino<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=manoah000ale&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Alek Manoah<\/a> are all very intriguing options, especially if the draft comes to you in the second or third round and they&#8217;re still available.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SLEEPER:<\/strong> Bayron Lora tends to go in the middle of the second round, which is after a few players I would take him ahead of. Sometimes if you like a guy you have to pay up and go get him. I\u2019m not afraid to do that with Lora. Players I\u2019d take him ahead of are basically the entire pitching class as well as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=stott-000bry&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Bryson Stott<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=jonesgr01,jones-003gre,jones-004gre&amp;search=Greg+Jones&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Greg Jones<\/a>, unless you\u2019re playing Roto and shooting for SB upside in Jones.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EASTERN INVASION:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=tsutsu000yos&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Yoshitomo Tsutsugo<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=akiyam000sho&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Shogo Akiyama<\/a> aren\u2019t available in the leagues I play in due to an age restriction (Jose Abreu Rule). If they were I\u2019d only be looking at them with teams that I think are competitive now. Even still, I\u2019m not sure how their stats in Japan will translate to the big leagues. For me, they\u2019ll be avoided but I\u2019ve seen them go in the late second and early third rounds in some other mocks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>GHOSTS PAST:<\/strong> The majority of my leagues let you draft players drafted or signed prior to 2019 who might have gone undrafted or weren\u2019t added to a site in a timely manner. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=davis-014bre&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Brennen Davis<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=bracho000aar&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Aaron Bracho<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=alvare006fra&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Francisco Alvarez<\/a> have all gone in leagues where the host site was tardy adding the player so make sure you\u2019re not missing value in players who took leaps last season in pro ball.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MENTAL MATH:<\/strong> I\u2019ve said it before and I\u2019ll say it again: If you like a guy, draft him. Trying to play the game of passing on a player you really like because you think you can get him a round later usually ends in heartbreak. If you have eyes for a prospect don\u2019t be afraid to push him up your board because there\u2019s nothing more rewarding than hitting on your guy while watching him flourish on another team is not fun.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MAXIMO HEAT:<\/strong> One trend from the first draft I did to the last is that Maximo Acosta continues to rise. Every year there is a player who starts out being taken in the fifth round before ending with a draft position in the second. This year it\u2019s Acosta and if you want him you\u2019re probably going to have to draft him at the beginning of round 3 at the latest.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PLAYER TO AVOID:<\/strong> Listen, I don\u2019t dislike Bryson Stott but seeing him going at the turn of the first round always leaves me shaking my head. For me, put Stott in the bin of better real-life baseball players than fantasy. If he slides, I\u2019ll take a flier on him as he still has a solid hit tool but if I\u2019m expected to take him in the 11-14 range, he won\u2019t be on my team.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">If you want to see my first-year player ranks, message me on Twitter: <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/CharlesTweed\">@CharlesTweed<\/a> or email me: <a href=\"mailto:cjrtweed@hotmail.com\"><span class=\"s1\">cjrtweed@hotmail.com<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>What I\u2019ve learned in FYPD mocks! It\u2019s the most wonderful time of the year. There\u2019s nothing that gets me more excited than first-year player drafts. <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/milb\/10-hot-takes-from-fypd-sleepers-busts-and-breakouts\/\" title=\"10 Hot Takes From FYPD: Sleepers, Busts and Breakouts\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":19009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[405,136,1457],"tags":[1960,4085,2969,3124,5129,3793,2977,5128,4087,4107,5119,4386,96,3397,4900,2974,4643,4378,4098,195,1651,4507,132,4086,1633,4884,5127,4877],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>10 Hot Takes From FYPD: Sleepers, Busts and Breakouts<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Haven&#039;t participated in your league&#039;s First Year Player Draft yet? Charles Tweed has a quick check on some potential FYPD sleepers, busts and breakouts.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/milb\/10-hot-takes-from-fypd-sleepers-busts-and-breakouts\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"10 Hot Takes From FYPD: Sleepers, Busts and Breakouts\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Haven&#039;t participated in your league&#039;s First Year Player Draft yet? 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Photo credit Tom Hagerty\/MiLB.com on Flickr (lakelandlocal)"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/milb\/10-hot-takes-from-fypd-sleepers-busts-and-breakouts\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"10 Hot Takes From FYPD: Sleepers, Busts and Breakouts"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/","name":"","description":"Your comprehensive dynasty league resource - deep MLB\/MiLB top prospect lists, news &amp; rankings","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/#\/schema\/person\/54be29cd1df8cba3d1dad53b76d99061","name":"Charles Tweed","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.prospects1500.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/75cf87066fa6fe0ff005f664cb7d0e9e?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/75cf87066fa6fe0ff005f664cb7d0e9e?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Charles Tweed"},"description":"All of the important people in my life know to never make me choose between them and fantasy baseball, because they might not like the answer. But in all seriousness I'm hoping to have some thoughtful discussion with you about international prospects. I've been playing in some serious dynasty leagues with the pool of prospects ranging from about 200-300 deep for about a decade, so, let's win your dynasty league. 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